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January 17, 2007

Gapminder

Fascinating little graphical tool.

Set it to fertility rate against income per capita. That's where Hardin was wrong, where Ehrlich made the mistake, even where Malthus is (at least in the short term) empirically disproven.

The population explosion is solved by people getting rich.

January 17, 2007 in Economics | Permalink

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Or by doing something about child mortality:
http://tools.google.com/gapminder/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=30;stl=t;st=t;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=6;ti=2004$zpv;v=1$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=SH%2EDYN%2EMORT;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=SP%2EDYN%2ETFRT%2EIN;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=20;iid=SP%2EPOP%2ETOTL;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=1004;iid=SP%2EPOP%2EDPND;by=grp$map_x;scale=log;dataMin=2.9;dataMax=500$map_y;scale=log;dataMin=0.84;dataMax=8.5$map_s;sma=30;smi=30$inds=

The question is, which is the chicken and which the egg (curate's or otherwise)?

Posted by: Cleanthes | Jan 17, 2007 4:57:02 PM

Except you got yourself an endogeneity problem there. Set fertility rates against carbon emissions. The population explosion is solved by more pollution.
But yeah you're right. And that thing is too much fun.
Set fertility against contraceptive use and look at Poland. Weird. What the hell happened in 1972?

Tim adds: Off the top of my head, 1972 was riots and the justifiable anger of the proletariat again: Gierek that time I think.

Posted by: radek | Jan 17, 2007 9:07:10 PM

This is nothing new - we can observe this same phenomenon by comparing council estates with middle class estates. Can you track down a chart that plots youth bulge against violence as well please? That's even more fun.

Posted by: Mark Wadsworth | Jan 17, 2007 10:02:21 PM