Tabloid Edition

Aid to Africa.

Interesting little fact from Marginal Revolution.

Estimated wealth of African wealth held in foreign accounts, expressed as a percentage of African GDP: 172

Another interesting fact. GDP of Africa ~ $800/900 billion.

Thus $1.45 or so trillion US dollars owned by Africans not invested in Africa.

Reasonable return on invested funds? 5-10% ? Call it 7% (including inflation)?

Roughly $100 billion a year.

How much are we being asked to send in aid? $175 billion or so? More than half of which to go to Africa?

Aid asked for, ~$100 billion.

Earnings from African wealth abroad not invested in Africa? ~$100 billion.

No, no comment, just sayin’.

Democracy Guy

A cautionary tale for those who pursue the Installanche.

Paul Krugman: The Way It Is.

Paul Krugman’s column today, The Way It Is, is interesting, highly so.

Bill Frist, the Senate majority leader, is under
investigation by the Securities and Exchange
Commission. He sold all his stock in HCA, which his
father helped found, just days before the stock
plunged. Two years ago, Mr. Frist claimed that he did
not even know if he owned HCA stock.

According to a new U.S. government index, the effect
of greenhouse gases is up 20 percent since 1990.

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, a 33-year-old Wall Street insider
with little experience in regulation but close ties to
drug firms, was made a deputy commissioner at the
F.D.A. in July. (This story, picked up by Time
magazine, was originally reported by Alicia Mundy of
The Seattle Times.)

The Artic ice cap is shrinking at an alarming rate.

Two of the three senior positions at the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration are vacant. The third
is held by Jonathan Snare, a former lobbyist. Texans
for Public Justice, a watchdog group, reports that he
worked on efforts to keep ephedra, a dietary
supplement that was banned by the F.D.A., legal.

According to France's finance minister, Alan Greenspan
told him that the United States had ''lost control''
of its budget deficit.

David Safavian is a former associate of Jack Abramoff,
the recently indicted lobbyist. Mr. Safavian oversaw
U.S. government procurement policy at the White House
Office of Management and Budget until his recent
arrest.

When Senator James Inhofe, who has called scientific
research on global warming ''a gigantic hoax,'' called
a hearing to attack that research, his star witness
was Michael Crichton, the novelist.

Mr. Safavian is charged with misrepresenting his
connections with lobbyists -- specifically, Mr.
Abramoff -- while working at the General Services
Administration. A key event was a lavish golfing trip
to Scotland in 2002, mostly paid for by a charity Mr.
Abramoff controlled. Among those who went on the trip
was Representative Bob Ney of Ohio.

It's not possible to attribute any one weather event
to global warming. But climate models show that global
warming will lead to increased hurricane intensity,
and some research indicates that this is already
occurring.

Tyco paid $2 million, most going to firms controlled
by Mr. Abramoff, as part of its successful effort to
preserve tax advantages it got from shifting its legal
home to Bermuda. Timothy Flanigan, a general counsel
at Tyco, has been nominated for the second-ranking
Justice Department post.

In the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans is
awash in soldiers and police. Nonetheless, the Federal
Emergency Management Agency has hired Blackwater USA,
a private security firm with strong political
connections, to provide armed guards.

Mr. Abramoff was indicted last month on charges of
fraud relating to his purchase of SunCruz, a casino
boat operation. Mr. Ney inserted comments in the
Congressional Record attacking SunCruz's original
owner, Konstantinos ''Gus'' Boulis, placing pressure
on him to sell to Mr. Abramoff and his partner, Adam
Kidan, and praised Mr. Kidan's character.

James Schmitz, who resigned as the Pentagon's
inspector general amid questions about his
performance, has been hired as Blackwater's chief
operating officer.

Last week three men were arrested in connection with
the gangland-style murder of Mr. Boulis. SunCruz,
after it was controlled by Mr. Kidan and Mr. Abramoff,
paid a company controlled by one of the men arrested,
Anthony ''Big Tony'' Moscatiello, and his daughter
$145,000 for catering and other work. In court
documents, questions are raised about whether food and
drink were ever provided. SunCruz paid $95,000 to a
company in which one of the other men arrested,
Anthony ''Little Tony'' Ferrari, is a principal.

Iraq's oil production remains below prewar levels. The
Los Angeles Times reports that mistakes by U.S.
officials and a Halliburton subsidiary, which was
given large no-bid reconstruction contracts, may have
permanently damaged Iraq's oilfields.

Tom DeLay, who stepped down as House majority leader
after his indictment, once called Mr. Abramoff ''one
of my closest and dearest friends.'' Mr. Abramoff
funneled funds from clients to conservative
institutions and causes. The Washington Post reported
that associates of Mr. DeLay claim that he severed the
relationship after Mr. Boulis's murder.

Public health experts warn that the U.S. would be
dangerously unprepared for an avian flu pandemic.

As Walter Cronkite used to say, That's the way it is.

There’s a bit of a mish mash there, under investigation, charged, people seemingly with no qualifications for their jobs and so on. But his basic point? That there is corruption at the heart of the political process? Yes, of course there is.

No, it isn’t as bad as some places (hey, I worked in Russia for 7 years, I know how bad it can get) but is it worse than it ought to be? Sure. Root out those breaking the law and prosecute them. If you do that successfully, jail them. 

But here’s the point that our Dear Paul will never admit, never allow himself to consider. Corruption like this is inherent in any form of large scale governance. When there’s $2 trillion a year going through the system then there will always be those lining up to dip their ladle into the gravy.

Abramoff the lobbyist? Wouldn’t exist if the laws were simpler.

In order to shrink the amount stolen from the government coffers one simply has to make the amount in those coffers smaller. In order to shrink the amount thrown about to gain privileges one has to shrink the privileges available. In order to stop conflicts of interest you need to reduce the number of things that politicians attempt to regulate.

In short, you need to shrink government.

Which is not what Dear Paul suggests of course. Despite the knowledge that 10% of Medicaid dollars are spent on fraudulent claims and another 20-30% wasted, our distinguished Professor of Economics wants to increase the amount of the economy subject to such depredations from 17% to 27% or so.

What a wonderful idea don’t you think?

There’s a very interesting litte report called "Beyond DeLay" which is worth a look (.pdf).

Roy Blunt for example:
In 2003, Rep. Blunt also helped his lobbyist son Andrew by inserting a provision into the
$79 billion emergency appropriation for the war in Iraq to benefit U.S. shippers like United
Parcel Service, Inc. and FedEx Corp.8 The provision required that military cargo be carried only
by companies with no more than 25% foreign ownership.9 The two companies were seeking to
block the expansion of a foreign-owned rival’s U.S. operations.10 Andrew Blunt lobbies on
behalf of UPS in Missouri, (in addition to Philip Morris)11 and UPS and FedEx have contributed
at least $67,500 to Rep. Blunt since 2001.

Maxine Walters:

Rep. Waters’ husband, Sidney Williams, has also benefitted financially from his wife’s
political clout, working as a part-time consultant for a bond underwriting firm, Siebert,
Brandford, & Shank.11 Despite having no apparent background in the bond business prior to his
work as a consultant for the company, Mr. Williams has collected close to $500,000 by making
valuable introductions for Siebert to politicians who have received his wife’s support.12
Government bond deals are awarded based on negotiations, allowing Mr. Williams to capitalize
on his wife’s connections to close many lucrative business deals for Siebert, from which he has
personally profited.13 For example, when school board members in Inglewood, a city in Rep.
Waters’ congressional district to which she guaranteed a $10 million loan from the Department
of Housing and Urban Development, needed a bond underwriting firm to handle a $40 million
school bond sale, they chose Siebert. Mr. Williams earned $54,000 in commission from the
deal.

Technorati tag paul krugman.

Chikky Yoggy

Lovely use of language:

What. Is. It. With. Those. Interminable. Bloody. Pauses. Between. Half. Sentences. Like. A. Policeman. Shooting. A. Brazilian. In. The. Head?

Britblog Reminder.

Yes, yes, please get your nominations for the Britblog Roundup in to britblog AT gmail DOT com.

Any subject, any viewpoint, just what you think was good in UK and Irish blogging this past week.

Timmy Elsewhere.

Short piece at the ASI. Housing and planning...a large part of the costs of housing in the UK are the permit to build, not the house itself.

Shock! Horror!

Hold The Front Pages!  Shock ! Horror!

Bold Headlines!

Exclamation Marks!!!!

Stunning news from the NY Times:

WASHINGTON, Sept. 29 - After Hurricane Katrina left hundreds of thousands of people homeless, the Federal Emergency Management Agency signed contracts for more than $2 billion in temporary housing, including more than 120,000 trailers and mobile homes. But the agency has placed just 109 Louisiana families in those homes.

A month after the disaster, the federal government's temporary housing effort is stumbling.

The inspector general for the Department of Homeland Security said Wednesday that FEMA was freezing many orders for trailers, although the agency disputes that. Members of Congress, complaining that a $236 million deal to lease three ships to house evacuees was far too expensive, are calling for an investigation. And under an alternative FEMA program to give victims cash to find their own housing, 332,000 households have been approved in just a week.

Extraordinary is it not? Simply stunning? Against all the formerly known rules of economics and politics?

Markets work better than Government provision? Really, who would have thought it?

It may well be that there are times when Government needs to finance access to a market but can we now, with this example (109 families as against 332,000 households in the same time period), please put to rest the idea that Government needs to be the provider of any but the most limited (say, military, legal system, etc) goods and services? 

This does have rather large implications of course. HUD, national health care, social security, veteran’s medical treatment, the Army Corps of Engineers, well, you make your own list.

The Government paying for those in need to access goods and services is one thing (which we can have a different argument about) but clearly, if that is what we decide to do we should make damn sure that it is markets that are the mechanism, not actual provision of the goods themselves by Government.

Because they’re not very good at it. Clearly.

Prison Works.

As the New York Times reports today, prison works:

WASHINGTON, Sept. 29 - Judith Miller, the reporter for The New York Times who has been jailed since July 6 for refusing to testify in the C.I.A. leak case, was released Thursday from a Virginia detention center after she and her lawyers reached an agreement with a federal prosecutor in which she would testify before a grand jury investigating the case, the publisher and the executive editor of the paper said.

Hurry Up Harry

So that’s where the URL comes from then?

"How about Sham 69’s hit singles Borstal Breakout or Hurry Up Harry (We’re Going Down the Pub)? "

Noting what they’re posting about there today:

Votes on the quality of student 'lifestyles' in various geographical locations have now been counted, and the results are in:

The London School of Economics was named as the best in the UK, followed by King's College London and the universities of Bath, Newcastle and Durham.

As I went to the number 1 spot myself and had my late teenage and early adult years in the number three (enjoying the lifestyle, if not the actual studying) this might explain why in middle age I am such a boring stick in the mud?

Oliver Kamm Misses The Point.

Well, yes, I hear you say, Quelle Surprise. Ollie pontificating and not quite grasping the essential point at issue:

Pollution is an externality. Liberals often argue that property rights are a better way of coping with it than regulation. If a factory pollutes an adjoining river, then its owner will have a greater incentive to conserve resources if he has to compensate someone with a property claim to that stretch of river.

If Forest were arguing a consistent libertarian case, it would come up with a comparable scheme for compensating those who suffer from pollution caused by cigarette smoke. Forest has not done that, because it cannot. Private property rights are no solution, because it is impossibly complex to identify all who suffer the inconvenience and discomfort of a smoky atmosphere, and to draw up contracts with them to buy the right to pollute the air.

Strangely, as I say, he’s actually missed the point. Forest (and others) are indeed arguing a perfectly impeccable libertarian case. There is no objection to the banning of smoking on public property. That is indeed the property of the public in general and so those owners may do as they wish.

What is being proposed is something really rather different. The banning of smoking on private property. Public Houses, despite their name, are, in fact, private property. Even the name given to the person licensed to run such (Landlord, in case you had forgotten) shows this. As does the fact that there is no right of service. Any Landlord may refuse service at any time, for no reason and any reason, to whomever they wish. This is not part of the "public property" that it is right for the "public" to regulate the behaviour within.

This is also why, in such bans in other countries, the justification has not been the decision of customers to patronise or not a place that allows or does not smoking. It has always been, at the legal level, an argument about the health and safety of the staff working in said atmosphere. Which is an obvious area where private contracts are an entirely useful and acceptable method of compensating for externalities.

Ho hum, I’m having lunch with Ollie’s editor next week. Should be fun, eh?